Posts Tagged ‘Cambridgeshire’

Pace bias at Newmarket today

Saturday, October 2nd, 2010

Today’s leader and lagger statistics for all today’s races under one mile are now up in the Betwise Members’ Area.

Looking down the card at Newmarket, it’s notable how many of the early pace runners are drawn high today.  In the 2.25, State Opera and Fury are drawn 26 and 24, respectively.   With a large number of runners, being drawn with the pace can be hugely important – moreover, with the stalls being on the far side today, high drawn runners also have the assistance of the rail.

So, whilst drawing a line under anything drawn less than 20 here may be a radical strategy, it is useful to narrow the field.   The same comment applies to the Cambridgeshire, and even though this is a 9 furlong race, the sheer number of runners across the track means that being drawn with the pace is hugely  important.  Assuming there is no intrinsic track bias elsewhere, the best strategy again may be to draw a line under anything coming out of a draw under 20 – which would, in this case,  eliminate the market leader.