Newbury angles Saturday

Some favourite angles for gaining an edge over the odds seem less potent at Newbury.  Front running pace is one of those.  Whereas front runners can gain a significant advantage on tight, turning courses they are more likely than not to set the race up for something coming off the pace at Newbury.   Most races on the wide, galloping course at Newbury are usually run at a good pace with plenty of room for manoevre, meaning genuinely fast, long striding types tend to do well.  By the same token, horses racing over whatever distance need to get every yard of the trip.

The angle we’re going to use is therefore the distance strike rate of each of the sires for all races over a mile at Newbury today, combined with the age and going strike rates for those sires, to see if we can spot any interesting contenders. Below are the top 2 for each of the qualifying races:

2.55 (1 mile) Watneya, Al Mayasah

16.05 (1 m 2f) Anmar, Distant Memories

17.10 (2 miles)  Morar, Dynamic Drive

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