Navan feature race
By colin on Saturday, December 18th, 2010Luckily one jumps fixture survives today, albeit on the other side of the Irish sea.
A quick check in Smartform:
>select scheduled_time, course, penalty_value from daily_races where meeting_date=CURDATE() order by penalty_value
Shows us that the 13:15 at Navan is the most valuable race of the day. A grade 1 novice hurdle, full of promising types (we wouldn’t expect much else in a Grade 1 novice race). As such, taking a short price is a risk, unless we are convinced that that the favourite(s) are clear in ability from the rest of the field. I’m not convinced at this stage, so prefer a horse that has shown the ability to win this at a longer price.
Oscars Well at 8/1 fits the bill nicely, having shown progressive form and clocking a useful speed figure last time out. I’d be surprised if Oscars Well wasn’t in contention at the end of the race (though again it’s a novice hurdle, so caveat emptor), meaning there may well be an opportunity to lay off on the exchanges, to leave a win bet to nothing (or even a small profit) before the race has ended…
Tags: Navan, Oscars Well