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Scoop 6 outsiders

By colin on Saturday, October 23rd, 2010

Due to the £1 million carry over bonus, today’s Scoop 6 is a bit more interesting than usual – but only if you have sufficient permutations (and are prepared to risk a sufficient pot) to give yourself an interesting chance of winning.  Otherwise, let’s say by applying horseracing judgement and skill we improve our chances against the odds tenfold – effectively betting on a 60,000/1 shot (assuming the minimum £2 stake).   That’s not a fantastic chance of winning for improving your odds tenfold.   Far better to spot one 10/1 shot that has a real Even chance, and stick something affordable on that.

Anyway, for those who want to have some fun with the Scoop 6, here are a few outsiders we’ve spotted through a Smartform analysis of today’s races, all of whom we think have better chances of winning than their odds imply, so as to give your permutations a change from the favourite:

Leg 1:  Doncaster 1.55:  Duchess Dora (interesting speed figures in a 5 furlong sprint)

Leg 2:  Newbury 2.05:  Surrey Star (more exposed than some but has recorded form at decent level)

Leg 3: Newbury 2.40: Poet (a very tricky race despite a small field with the favourite a worthy contender but Poet could improve for the step up in trip)

Leg 4: Doncaster 2.55: Seville (wouldn’t be the first time the supposed O’Brien second string comes good, but Casamento is another worthy favourite)

Leg 5: Newbury 3.10: Pretty Bonnie (it’s a rank outsider with lots of potential holes, but we like its recent Smartform speed rating, albeit over 6 furlongs)

Leg 6: Newbury 3.40:  Blessed Biata (ok, hardly an outsider since there seems to be money around for it today, but not the favourite and may go very well).

Good luck if you’re playing!

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