Something to live up to with this Saturday’s feature race analysis with a high success rate for identifying the winner in the past few Saturdays, including 2 winning at double digit prices.   Today’s feature race is of course the Tingle Creek, bizzarely run at Cheltenham.

The chances of Master Minded are obvious, but with him still to prove he is really back to his best, he is a poor betting proposition at 10/11.

However, as such a short favourite in a 9 runner field, he sets up the shape of the race from a betting point of view for a range of possible each way shots.  Gavain, Kalahari King and Somersby are all form choices you’d expect to have a good chance of running into a place, but again at the prices, we’ll only recover our stake if Master Minded is indeed back to his best.   Moreover, with only 3 places and 4 horses named so far (and 5 other horses in the race not yet considered), there’s a strong chance picking one of them will lose both parts of the stake.

So, from a betting point of view, we’re going to take a chance to small stakes each way with a longer priced shot from a yard that knows how to win top class chases.  I’m So Lucky showed lots of potential before its break, and may improve enough to make the frame.  It’s all about risk and reward, and for this race small risk is advised with 25/1 representing a reasonable reward.