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Welsh National Thoughts

By colin on Saturday, January 8th, 2011

Thoughts on the rescheduled Welsh National at Chepstow today:

1. Fiendishly tricky.

2. If playing, use minimal stakes.

3. Anything winning this will have to have stamina in buckets.  Looking down the list of contenders, there are a number of doubts about stamina.

4.  Trainer form may be important – lots of recent interruptions in the racing schedule and poor conditions at home mean we want a trainer who has proven that they are currently preparing their horses better than others.

Conclusion:

Arbor Supreme fits the bill as a horse that has won over the extreme distance and is from a yard in great form.  At 16/1 + he also represents enough value to warrant a small play to each way stakes.

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